The short answer
Most Arkansas buyers can comfortably afford a home whose full monthly payment stays at or under about 28% of their gross monthly income. For a household earning $70,000 a year with a $400 car payment, that works out to a home price around $190,000 at today's rates.
Online calculators will happily give you a bigger number. The trouble is they often skip property taxes, homeowners insurance, and mortgage insurance, which are the parts that surprise buyers at the closing table. This guide walks through the real math, step by step, so you can find a number that fits your life and not just a lender's maximum.
Start with the monthly payment, not the price
The price tag on a listing doesn't tell you what you'll actually pay each month. Lenders and smart buyers look at the full monthly housing payment, often called PITI:
- Principal: the part of your payment that pays down the loan.
- Interest: what the lender charges you to borrow, set by your rate.
- Taxes: your yearly property tax bill, split into 12 monthly pieces and held in escrow.
- Insurance: your homeowners insurance premium, also usually paid monthly through escrow.
If you put down less than 20% on a conventional loan, add private mortgage insurance (PMI). FHA loans carry their own mortgage insurance premium, and USDA and VA loans have their own fees. In some neighborhoods you'll also have HOA dues.
When you shop by monthly payment first, you avoid falling in love with a home that only works on paper.
How lenders decide: your debt to income ratio
Your debt to income ratio (DTI) is all of your monthly debt payments divided by your gross monthly income, before taxes. Lenders use it to judge whether you can handle a new mortgage payment on top of what you already owe.
Here's a quick example. If you earn $6,000 a month and your debts add up to $2,000 a month, your DTI is 33%.
There are two ways to look at it:
- Front end ratio: just your new housing payment (PITI) divided by your income.
- Back end ratio: your housing payment plus every other monthly debt, like car loans, student loans, and credit card minimums, divided by your income.
A classic rule of thumb is 28/36: keep housing at or under 28% of gross income and total debt at or under 36%. Lenders can go higher. Fannie Mae, for example, allows a total DTI up to 45% on manually underwritten loans that meet credit and reserve requirements, and up to 50% when a loan is approved through its automated system. Every loan type and lender has its own limits, so your lender will confirm your real number.
Just because a lender approves you at 45% or 50% doesn't mean that payment will feel good month to month. That's why it helps to know both numbers: your comfortable number and your maximum.
How interest rates change what you can afford
As of October 8, 2026, the average 30 year fixed mortgage rate was 7.40%, according to Freddie Mac's weekly survey. The 15 year fixed averaged 6.73%. A year earlier, the 30 year rate was 6.30%.
That difference matters more than most buyers expect. Here's what principal and interest cost per $100,000 borrowed on a 30 year loan:
30 year rate | Monthly principal and interest per $100,000 |
|---|---|
6.40% | $626 |
7.40% | $692 |
8.40% | $762 |
On a $200,000 loan, today's 7.40% rate costs about $1,385 a month in principal and interest. At last year's 6.30%, the same loan was about $1,238, roughly $147 a month less.
Rates change every week, and your rate also depends on your credit, your down payment, and your loan type. A local lender can quote you a real rate in a single conversation.
Arkansas costs that change the math
Property taxes are a bright spot. Arkansas property taxes are low compared to most of the country, with effective rates of about 0.55% to 0.65% of a home's value per year in Central Arkansas counties:
County | Effective property tax rate | Typical yearly bill |
|---|---|---|
Faulkner (Conway) | 0.65% | about $1,400 |
Pulaski (Little Rock, North Little Rock, Sherwood) | 0.65% | about $1,300 |
White (Searcy, Beebe) | 0.65% | about $1,100 |
Lonoke (Cabot, Lonoke, Ward) | 0.55% | about $1,100 |
If the home is your primary residence, you can also apply for Arkansas's homestead property tax credit, worth up to $375 a year off your bill. Make sure you file for it with your county assessor after you close.
Homeowners insurance is the cost to watch. Arkansas premiums run well above the national average. NerdWallet puts the statewide average at about $4,955 a year for a policy with $400,000 in dwelling coverage, nearly double the national average of $2,490. Smaller homes with less coverage usually cost less, but the roof's age, your credit, and your claims history can move the price a lot. Get a real insurance quote early, before you write an offer, so this line doesn't surprise you.
A real example: what a $70,000 household can afford
Let's put it all together. Say your household earns $70,000 a year ($5,833 a month before taxes) and you have a $400 car payment.
- Comfortable housing budget (28%): $1,633 a month. Your total debt would be $2,033, or about 35%, which stays inside the 36% guideline.
- Maximum a lender might approve (45% total DTI): $2,625 in total debt, which leaves about $2,225 a month for housing.
Here's what a $190,000 home looks like with 5% down at today's 7.40% rate:
Monthly cost | Estimate |
|---|---|
Principal and interest ($180,500 loan) | $1,250 |
Property taxes (0.65% a year) | $103 |
Homeowners insurance (estimate) | $200 |
PMI (estimate, about 0.5% of the loan a year) | $75 |
Total monthly payment | $1,628 |
So this household can comfortably afford a home around $190,000. Stretching to the 45% maximum would push the price to roughly $270,000, but that's about $600 more every month, money that would otherwise go to savings, repairs, and real life.
Insurance and PMI here are rough estimates. Your actual quotes will depend on the home, your credit, and your down payment.
Down payment, closing costs, and ADFA help
You probably need less cash up front than you think. Common minimum down payments are:
- Conventional: as little as 3% for some buyers, 5% is common
- FHA: 3.5%
- VA (for eligible veterans and service members) and USDA (in eligible rural areas, which include a lot of Central Arkansas): $0 down
You'll also have closing costs for things like the appraisal, title work, lender fees, and prepaid taxes and insurance. Your lender's Loan Estimate will spell out the exact amount, so ask for one early.
Arkansas buyers have extra help available. The Arkansas Development Finance Authority (ADFA) offers a Down Payment Assistance (DPA) loan of $1,000 to $15,000 toward your down payment and closing costs. It's set up as a second mortgage with a 10 year term, and it's available to qualifying buyers who use an ADFA StartSmart or ADFA Move Up first mortgage through a participating lender. Income limits and other requirements apply, so a participating lender is the best place to find out if you qualify.
Many buyers never ask about ADFA because they assume they won't qualify. It's worth a five minute conversation to find out.
Finding your own number
The right budget is the one that lets you enjoy your home and still sleep at night. Here's a simple way to find it:
- Add up your gross monthly income and every monthly debt payment.
- Multiply your income by 28% to find a comfortable housing payment.
- Subtract taxes, insurance, and PMI from that number to see what's left for principal and interest.
- Get preapproved with a local lender to confirm your rate, your maximum, and whether you qualify for ADFA help.
- Shop at or below your comfortable number, not your maximum, so there's room for repairs, savings, and surprises.
Let's figure out your number together
Whether you're looking in Cabot, Searcy, Conway, Little Rock, or anywhere in between, I'm happy to help you see what your budget really buys, and I can introduce you to trusted local lenders who know the ADFA programs well. Call or text me anytime, no pressure at all.
Until next time, here's to finding home.
Michelle
Executive Broker, Blair & Co. Realtors
501.424.7949 / 501.654.HOME
Sources
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates Average 7.40% (October 8, 2026)
- Consumer Financial Protection Bureau: What is a debt to income ratio?
- Fannie Mae Selling Guide: Debt to Income Ratios
- The Property Tax Almanac: Arkansas
- NerdWallet: The Best Home Insurance in Arkansas in 2026
- ADFA: Down Payment Assistance Loan Program



